Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x565c34cc5647b317474e9e5ccb9a761b8f707047f4c532a2de14459f26ec97dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOSof LOS, Vivo Keyd Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4873…15babacked LOS | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.33 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 52c | 3,150$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.01 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 52c | 2,311$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.8 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed LOS | 46c | 1,033$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.82 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 54c | 1,022$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.98 | 637 | 51.2%326 W · 311 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 53c | 749.99$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.49 | 420 | 50.5%212 W · 208 L | +27.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 51c | 692.14$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.24 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed LOS | 47c | 677.34$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.99 | 169 | 33.1%56 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…f616backed LOS | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed LOS | 49c | 608$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.46 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 48c | 549.08$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.89 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed LOS | 48c | 487$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.24 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e7…f2e5backed LOS | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f0fbbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 52c | 308.74$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LOS | 52c | 296.37$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.26 | 1,428 | 38.4%548 W · 880 L | -42.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed LOS | 48c | 227$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.04 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x797b…26d2backed LOS | 57c | 209.57$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d40…5739backed LOS | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed LOS | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked LOS | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 41c | 145.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed LOS | 64c | 137.54$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 858 | 52.3%449 W · 409 L | +35.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…391dbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 55c | 114.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…0e78backed LOS | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 393 | 42.2%166 W · 227 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked LOS | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed LOS | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed LOS | 66c | 73.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 419 | 45.1%189 W · 230 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 40c | 54.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed LOS | 48c | 54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 214 | 51.4%110 W · 104 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed LOS | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 210 | 54.8%115 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf4…0e3dbacked LOS | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked LOS | 48c | 33.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked LOS | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 1,049 | 44.6%468 W · 581 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb695…f967backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 58c | 28.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 609 | 43.2%263 W · 346 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked LOS | 77c | 22.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 225 | 65.3%147 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonLOS won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 WinnerLOS won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 WinnerLOS won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.