Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57cc971586707c89541d6d76ee821b1ae629ba2f4f23233fbffbc2e05b36719c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 59c | 2,712$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.49 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Over | 41c | 1,928$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 59c | 1,776$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.22 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Over | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.17 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 77c | 745.39$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.35 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 22c | 465.4$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.39 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 42c | 328$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.76 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 59c | 310$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 197 | 58.9%116 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Over | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -14.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 41c | 270.45$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.88 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 42c | 254.96$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.53 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 23c | 132.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 40c | 98.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 35c | 92.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 58c | 86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 41c | 86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Over | 42c | 79.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Under | 59c | 76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 39c | 73.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 59c | 60.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 358 | 44.4%159 W · 199 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Over | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 79c | 41.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 73c | 39.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 63c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 42c | 32.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Under | 59c | 30.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5926…e20abacked Under | 59c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 60c | 24.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468b…68a5backed Under | 80c | 20.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5)LOS won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonLOS won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 WinnerLOS won
- LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 WinnerLOS won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.