UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Alden Coria vs. Stewart Nicoll (Flyweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x922d786b9d13065757d269e3f110f51af5948cb554c8595b0b8179688df06344
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alden Coriaof Alden Coria, Stewart Nicoll
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $199,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Stewart Nicoll | 12c | 15,142$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.07 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Stewart Nicoll | 16c | 13,107$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.09 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Stewart Nicoll | 9c | 12,636$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.64 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Stewart Nicoll | 12c | 9,749$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.34 | 155 | 37.4%58 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Stewart Nicoll | 17c | 7,358$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.01 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Stewart Nicoll | 11c | 6,882$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.07 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Stewart Nicoll | 13c | 6,286$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.22 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Stewart Nicoll | 16c | 5,142$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.85 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Stewart Nicoll | 10c | 5,071$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.11 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Stewart Nicoll | 12c | 3,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Stewart Nicoll | 14c | 3,124$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.82 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stewart Nicoll | 11c | 2,877$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.27 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Stewart Nicoll | 12c | 2,556$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Stewart Nicoll | 16c | 2,516$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.77 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Stewart Nicoll | 11c | 2,450$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71b4…f97ebacked Stewart Nicoll | 13c | 2,308$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Stewart Nicoll | 20c | 2,142$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.82 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Stewart Nicoll | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Stewart Nicoll | 5c | 1,867$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Stewart Nicoll | 13c | 1,825$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.92 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Stewart Nicoll | 12c | 1,768$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.46 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Stewart Nicoll | 3c | 1,600$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -80%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Stewart Nicoll | 10c | 1,576$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.14 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Stewart Nicoll | 10c | 1,463$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.31 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed Stewart Nicoll | 12c | 1,400$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.99 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Stewart Nicoll | 20c | 1,395$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Stewart Nicoll | 12c | 1,177$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…2e27backed Stewart Nicoll | 13c | 1,150$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…2e26backed Stewart Nicoll | 16c | 958.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Stewart Nicoll | 14c | 858.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.22 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Stewart Nicoll | 27c | 640.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.08 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56bc…a1e4backed Stewart Nicoll | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec7…12f7backed Stewart Nicoll | 12c | 618.69$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Stewart Nicoll | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Stewart Nicoll | 20c | 507.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Stewart Nicoll | 14c | 505.53$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Stewart Nicoll | 13c | 502.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…827dbacked Stewart Nicoll | 13c | 500$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Stewart Nicoll | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Stewart Nicoll | 13c | 469.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…36f4backed Stewart Nicoll | 19c | 468.42$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Stewart Nicoll | 14c | 423.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Stewart Nicoll | 10c | 417$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Alden Coria | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…5e92backed Stewart Nicoll | 13c | 385.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Stewart Nicoll | 19c | 356.25$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Stewart Nicoll | 15c | 350$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Stewart Nicoll | 18c | 330.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…e9d9backed Stewart Nicoll | 6c | 328.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Stewart Nicoll | 10c | 326.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdde…0b07backed Stewart Nicoll | 3c | 310$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5237…778cbacked Stewart Nicoll | 13c | 302.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Stewart Nicoll | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Stewart Nicoll | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Stewart Nicoll | 13c | 297.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 383 | 53.3%204 W · 179 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…e8c1backed Stewart Nicoll | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…c014backed Stewart Nicoll | 12c | 271.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d3…cae1backed Stewart Nicoll | 9c | 265.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Stewart Nicoll | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…693cbacked Stewart Nicoll | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Stewart Nicoll | 6c | 222$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Stewart Nicoll | 12c | 219.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Stewart Nicoll | 14c | 217.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…ac84backed Stewart Nicoll | 12c | 203.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90da…b7e0backed Stewart Nicoll | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Stewart Nicoll | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Stewart Nicoll | 22c | 181.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Stewart Nicoll | 11c | 172.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Stewart Nicoll | 11c | 163.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Stewart Nicoll | 17c | 160.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd033…d4c6backed Stewart Nicoll | 17c | 156.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Stewart Nicoll | 12c | 152.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Stewart Nicoll | 13c | 144$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade3…b321backed Alden Coria | 70c | 141.94$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Stewart Nicoll | 25c | 137.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Stewart Nicoll | 19c | 137.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Stewart Nicoll | 19c | 134.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…9f95backed Stewart Nicoll | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Stewart Nicoll | 15c | 132$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b4…9332backed Stewart Nicoll | 14c | 123.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…e406backed Alden Coria | 67c | 120.94$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7545…1ecfbacked Stewart Nicoll | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…5af9backed Stewart Nicoll | 11c | 114.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Stewart Nicoll | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2180…df40backed Stewart Nicoll | 9c | 106.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Stewart Nicoll | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Stewart Nicoll | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Stewart Nicoll | 11c | 99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Stewart Nicoll | 11c | 96.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 225 | 48%108 W · 117 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Stewart Nicoll | 12c | 95.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Stewart Nicoll | 13c | 94.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Stewart Nicoll | 15c | 92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5173…c07cbacked Stewart Nicoll | 12c | 91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Stewart Nicoll | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 248 | 51.2%127 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…d2f6backed Stewart Nicoll | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa430…c6f9backed Stewart Nicoll | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc11…974fbacked Stewart Nicoll | 15c | 71.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Stewart Nicoll | 35c | 47.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Alden Coria | 79c | 45.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Stewart Nicoll | 33c | 45.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Alden Coria vs. Stewart Nicoll (Flyweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Alden Coria win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.