Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6821b1bd5e3357684c7cf42e5813bb51e44898acc45da5192a7e1dda2a5cef3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof FUT Esports, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Gentle Mates | 66c | 992.83$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.86 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…aea3backed FUT Esports | 37c | 650$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Gentle Mates | 45c | 533.45$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.73 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…75cfbacked FUT Esports | 55c | 525$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.75 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Gentle Mates | 64c | 468$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.85 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Gentle Mates | 68c | 307$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.24 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed FUT Esports | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed FUT Esports | 50c | 293$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.5 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked FUT Esports | 55c | 280$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed FUT Esports | 28c | 270$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Gentle Mates | 51c | 250.88$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.93 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed FUT Esports | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed FUT Esports | 32c | 244.46$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.93 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked FUT Esports | 35c | 244$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Gentle Mates | 73c | 204.67$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed FUT Esports | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Gentle Mates | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Gentle Mates | 73c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed Gentle Mates | 47c | 116.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Gentle Mates | 45c | 102$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Gentle Mates | 74c | 67.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Gentle Mates | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed FUT Esports | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed FUT Esports | 33c | 58.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…0b0dbacked Gentle Mates | 54c | 36.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Gentle Mates | 62c | 36.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa291…0d81backed FUT Esports | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2Gentle Mates won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates - Map 3 WinnerGentle Mates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.