Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0963e8a08911fb03a1eb496a3452831ef37d304ae49bd76ba970194a7b49bf0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof FUT Esports, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed FUT Esports | 8c | 1,639$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.85 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed FUT Esports | 55c | 1,083$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Gentle Mates | 47c | 799.99$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked FUT Esports | 58c | 776.98$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed FUT Esports | 53c | 720.87$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.53 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Gentle Mates | 33c | 572.79$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.79 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Gentle Mates | 44c | 485.43$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.84 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c5…2dcdbacked FUT Esports | 56c | 485.43$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Gentle Mates | 39c | 485.12$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.69 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Gentle Mates | 46c | 296.49$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.3 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Gentle Mates | 49c | 237.78$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.32 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d1…6a15backed FUT Esports | 52c | 179.79$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Gentle Mates | 47c | 179.1$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.32 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…abf3backed Gentle Mates | 51c | 130$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed FUT Esports | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked FUT Esports | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Gentle Mates | 46c | 65.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Gentle Mates | 42c | 59.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed FUT Esports | 27c | 50.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed FUT Esports | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…0b0dbacked FUT Esports | 46c | 43.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Gentle Mates | 53c | 37.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa291…0d81backed FUT Esports | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e2…86c6backed FUT Esports | 53c | 20.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2Gentle Mates won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 WinnerGentle Mates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.