Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb76976e5f522f008cefc4857ff155a796b3ddd76955d4bdd2dc8c0776cc2fde5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof FUT Esports, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Gentle Mates | 59c | 6,701$3,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,718.97 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +11.1wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed FUT Esports | 40c | 2,545$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed FUT Esports | 22c | 1,574$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.44 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FUT Esports | 40c | 1,463$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.15 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Gentle Mates | 44c | 1,033$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.73 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed FUT Esports | 45c | 950$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked FUT Esports | 56c | 876.64$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.56 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FUT Esports | 60c | 847.96$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.4 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Gentle Mates | 46c | 818$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.69 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c34…57f6backed Gentle Mates | 60c | 648.71$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…75cfbacked FUT Esports | 55c | 525$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.75 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Gentle Mates | 58c | 460.91$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.25 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked FUT Esports | 40c | 454.91$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.88 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed FUT Esports | 41c | 429$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.35 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f15…f950backed Gentle Mates | 75c | 398.69$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Gentle Mates | 43c | 359.28$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.79 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked FUT Esports | 55c | 205$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Gentle Mates | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed FUT Esports | 21c | 197.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…abf3backed FUT Esports | 77c | 156.82$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.85 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed FUT Esports | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Gentle Mates | 57c | 120.95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed Gentle Mates | 14c | 118.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Gentle Mates | 41c | 103.39$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked FUT Esports | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed FUT Esports | 20c | 61.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad5a…e224backed Gentle Mates | 60c | 45.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked FUT Esports | 40c | 30.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked FUT Esports | 59c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…a4a8backed Gentle Mates | 60c | 25.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed FUT Esports | 40c | 25.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked FUT Esports | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6506…15c0backed FUT Esports | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Gentle Mates | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed Gentle Mates | 61c | 17.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2Gentle Mates won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates - Map 3 WinnerGentle Mates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.