Ukraine · resolved market
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87d87e2d7b760056a05bb5e8ea510e7a5de71a2fe5a6a2ee71c41b9bb6bfd371
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $358,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $369,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $358,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed No | 31c | 25,126$7,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,849.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 7c | 22,255$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed No | 10c | 20,360$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.3 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67db…bd86backed No | 24c | 20,254$4,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,822.67 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +5.1wins | +0.39per pick | 45cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…cc49backed Yes | 67c | 18,659$12,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,161.47 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x372a…7201backed No | 17c | 13,488$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 3c | 12,793$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.83 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3977…e660backed No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…15aebacked No | 17c | 8,735$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 67c | 7,112$4,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.55 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c5…7a13backed No | 21c | 5,669$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.69 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…7d99backed No | 15c | 5,653$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.22 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 17c | 4,946$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.14 | 234 | 35.5%83 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked No | 23c | 4,829$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889d…19bcbacked No | 29c | 3,847$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 67c | 3,700$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.92 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 23c | 3,392$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.42 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed Yes | 78c | 3,208$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.06 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af8…21b0backed No | 12c | 3,145$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 17c | 3,108$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.58 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked No | 28c | 3,045$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.29 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa130…b662backed No | 18c | 3,039$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed No | 13c | 3,033$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.83 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 76c | 2,923$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.34 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked No | 18c | 2,913$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.75 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed No | 5c | 2,702$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 21c | 2,492$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.83 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…c864backed Yes | 79c | 2,472$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91e…7246backed Yes | 67c | 2,242$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…78d4backed No | 47c | 2,112$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60f…7d85backed No | 29c | 2,040$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…3ddabacked No | 18c | 1,750$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.5 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7487…fc0cbacked Yes | 75c | 1,714$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.75 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…626fbacked Yes | 79c | 1,684$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked Yes | 61c | 1,684$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.31 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed No | 9c | 1,662$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.23 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…f96fbacked No | 16c | 1,647$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +142.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 23c | 1,600$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.62 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe076…08e4backed Yes | 70c | 1,424$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 27c | 1,377$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.14 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked Yes | 74c | 1,375$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.93 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…107cbacked No | 29c | 1,333$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Yes | 75c | 1,329$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.97 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x455d…89d6backed No | 1c | 1,314$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed No | 9c | 1,295$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.06 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 25c | 1,257$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.37 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4d…d85bbacked Yes | 66c | 1,200$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed No | 22c | 1,117$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.05 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x129d…7d2dbacked Yes | 61c | 1,100$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.4 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed No | 24c | 1,094$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…8740backed No | 9c | 1,033$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…1495backed No | 33c | 1,028$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked No | 10c | 1,003$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.83 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d49…4f7cbacked No | 19c | 1,000$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f4f0backed Yes | 76c | 775.13$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2299…8f6abacked No | 23c | 742.3$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 17c | 697.48$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.27 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11e…2230backed Yes | 74c | 663.16$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd124…b1c6backed No | 8c | 662.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked Yes | 76c | 644.64$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.72 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf485…53ccbacked No | 13c | 628.07$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.23 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ff…8ed7backed No | 16c | 627.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…9e58backed Yes | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f87…1ff2backed No | 15c | 615.07$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.7 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd58…9542backed Yes | 76c | 560.17$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dc…d1dfbacked No | 9c | 550.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked No | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 75 | 2.7%2 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…8bc3backed No | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 158 | 55.1%87 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…edb1backed No | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2201…42e2backed No | 19c | 488.01$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x296e…e0e1backed Yes | 74c | 481$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5dc2backed No | 10c | 480.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 24c | 475.85$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.52 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed No | 36c | 458.75$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.15 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed Yes | 80c | 450$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4d…3352backed Yes | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9065…9511backed No | 10c | 420.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cfd7backed Yes | 77c | 409.08$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.09 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e8…4f0bbacked No | 11c | 400$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f00…7addbacked Yes | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…82ddbacked No | 13c | 387.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6a…994cbacked No | 28c | 385.71$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1312…cf45backed No | 17c | 379.02$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed No | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x457e…0cbabacked No | 3c | 361.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…77a1backed No | 13c | 356.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01a…d4e9backed Yes | 64c | 351$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 18c | 345$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…5291backed No | 10c | 341.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadcc…9333backed No | 15c | 341.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790c…033cbacked No | 27c | 333.53$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc4…cf72backed No | 15c | 320.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 22c | 315.51$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.69 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…d32abacked No | 45c | 311.72$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.02 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…6048backed No | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 9c | 294.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b5…0000backed Yes | 64c | 294$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e26…336cbacked Yes | 80c | 283.6$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by June 30?this page
- Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by April 30?No won
- Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by February 28?No won
- Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by May 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.