Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b3a0eba693eb541fcfce1fb7a3dc7e73e84fb73c4e9e65d03037720e13a9ed7

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Shiftersof Karmine Corp, Shifters
Resolved: Aug 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $33,789
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $34,351

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,789 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe015…6ffdbacked Shifters	26c	16,667$4,317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,350.41	960	48.8%468 W · 492 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Karmine Corp	74c	6,000$4,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,440	918	54%496 W · 422 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Shifters	27c	5,357$1,446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,910.61	460	50.7%233 W · 227 L	+13.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Karmine Corp	73c	3,500$2,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,554.99	1,485	50.1%744 W · 741 L	+67.0wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Karmine Corp	77c	3,010$2,318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,317.7	252	44.4%112 W · 140 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4fc…a926backed Karmine Corp	74c	2,703$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	102	48%49 W · 53 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Karmine Corp	74c	1,770$1,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,310.01	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Shifters	26c	1,600$416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,183.96	2,362	32%755 W · 1,607 L	+42.0wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Karmine Corp	74c	1,500$1,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,114.99	1,110	49%544 W · 566 L	+42.0wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Karmine Corp	74c	1,250$925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$925	660	59.8%395 W · 265 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Karmine Corp	74c	1,071$792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$792.26	1,593	43.8%697 W · 896 L	-74.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Karmine Corp	3c	1,050$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.6	1,170	66.2%774 W · 396 L	+69.6wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Karmine Corp	75c	1,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.51	1,151	56%644 W · 507 L	+25.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Karmine Corp	74c	1,000$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$740	635	46.6%296 W · 339 L	+8.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50f9…c327backed Karmine Corp	74c	726.08$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.3	43	58.1%25 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5e7…a100backed Shifters	27c	568$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414.64	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6691…5a83backed Shifters	27c	525.19$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$383.39	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Karmine Corp	74c	472.97$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	650	63.2%411 W · 239 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59d5…d7a3backed Karmine Corp	74c	400$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x797b…26d2backed Karmine Corp	74c	324.32$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	106	50%53 W · 53 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Karmine Corp	75c	260$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.16	450	44.7%201 W · 249 L	-29.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Shifters	24c	252.05$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.56	1,385	45.1%625 W · 760 L	-12.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Shifters	31c	210$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.9	1,047	50.3%527 W · 520 L	+37.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed Karmine Corp	74c	202.7$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	122	51.6%63 W · 59 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Karmine Corp	76c	200$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152	600	53.2%319 W · 281 L	+15.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Karmine Corp	74c	200$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	1,242	42.6%529 W · 713 L	-18.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7c8…2313backed Shifters	27c	185.19$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.19	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+3.4wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb862…a00dbacked Shifters	14c	185$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.3	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Shifters	22c	178.59$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.54	2,938	44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L	-92.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Shifters	27c	148.15$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.15	1,024	45%461 W · 563 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd16…502ebacked Shifters	27c	127.78$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.28	33	63.6%21 W · 12 L	+4.0wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+41.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf532…6ab4backed Shifters	23c	120.17$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.53	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+81.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Shifters	27c	111.11$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.11	760	28.9%220 W · 540 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6392…52ddbacked Shifters	24c	100$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76	420	49.3%207 W · 213 L	+18.2wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b47…1540backed Karmine Corp	74c	100$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	210	60%126 W · 84 L	+9.8wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbadb…a760backed Karmine Corp	80c	100$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	73	58.9%43 W · 30 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1058…01c1backed Karmine Corp	76c	100$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	68cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Karmine Corp	65c	89$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.94	464	52.4%243 W · 221 L	+18.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7e8…65dbbacked Karmine Corp	75c	86.59$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	79	63.3%50 W · 29 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Shifters	23c	77.62$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.74	639	44.6%285 W · 354 L	-18.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Shifters	24c	75.18$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.24	281	49.8%140 W · 141 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b8a…8f29backed Karmine Corp	74c	67.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xeff4…2aa4backed Karmine Corp	74c	67.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	332	63.6%211 W · 121 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe332…d5e9backed Karmine Corp	80c	62.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	306	66.3%203 W · 103 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Karmine Corp	74c	60$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.4	677	63.4%429 W · 248 L	-16.4wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Karmine Corp	69c	53.98$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.25	978	54.4%532 W · 446 L	+48.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4e7…ed89backed Shifters	23c	53.48$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.08	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Shifters	27c	46.6$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.13	1,113	39%434 W · 679 L	-44.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeca9…1799backed Shifters	37c	39.45$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.85	218	44.5%97 W · 121 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Karmine Corp	49c	35.3$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.3	1,389	37.7%524 W · 865 L	-45.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x260d…98f9backed Karmine Corp	80c	31.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	52	61.5%32 W · 20 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	65cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Karmine Corp	74c	30$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.2	602	43.4%261 W · 341 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x233e…14bdbacked Karmine Corp	75c	26$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.43	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6dc…58d5backed Karmine Corp	65c	24$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	216	52.3%113 W · 103 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e0f…2deebacked Karmine Corp	62c	23.55$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	235	62.1%146 W · 89 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd16b…36c0backed Karmine Corp	74c	20.27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	478	54%258 W · 220 L	-16.9wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b06…d80dbacked Karmine Corp	75c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-5.4wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6eb0…16e6backed Karmine Corp	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0398…52b4backed Karmine Corp	80c	15$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9560…b831backed Karmine Corp	75c	14$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.56	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	67cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)this page
First Blood in Game 1?Karmine Corp won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp won
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerShifters won
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event