WNBA · resolved market
Wings vs Sky
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89b10ec746d7575f3904d26a32fa308e4c27f1d2a5d0dae57ce29f883b5a7d65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Skyof Wings, Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Sky | 45c | 22,635$10,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,504.1 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Wings | 55c | 12,716$6,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,993.78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2016…b4bebacked Wings | 48c | 10,843$5,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,154.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wings | 55c | 7,686$4,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,227.46 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Sky | 52c | 7,127$3,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed Sky | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Wings | 56c | 4,444$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Wings | 49c | 1,306$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.07 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wings | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…f1c3backed Wings | 51c | 982.35$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wings | 58c | 774$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.81 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Wings | 51c | 744.7$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.7 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Sky | 41c | 707.18$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.47 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Sky | 67c | 401.92$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.02 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Wings | 55c | 374$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.93 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked Sky | 47c | 321.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.28 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.35per pick | 47cpaid | +64%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe26a…8519backed Wings | 52c | 244.46$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Wings | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sky | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sky | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Wings | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sky | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sky | 45c | 98.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wings | 56c | 95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Wings | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wings | 55c | 72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Sky | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Wings | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Sky | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sky | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Wings | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Wings | 61c | 38.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Sky | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Wings | 54c | 19.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.