Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x669ec90140c00f2050a30871e182108b3a63fcfb45080e4451f04f33749fc031
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Princeton Tigersof Vermont Catamounts, Princeton Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $664,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $994,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $664,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Princeton Tigers | 53c | 330,134$174,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155,305.33 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Vermont Catamounts | 47c | 324,808$152,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152,659.98 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Vermont Catamounts | 50c | 4,800$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Vermont Catamounts | 42c | 2,830$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Princeton Tigers | 56c | 1,672$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.36 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Princeton Tigers | 60c | 1,039$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.55 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Vermont Catamounts | 47c | 781.39$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.48 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Vermont Catamounts | 47c | 372.26$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.96 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Vermont Catamounts | 50c | 252$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…ad3cbacked Princeton Tigers | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f89…f0f8backed Vermont Catamounts | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Princeton Tigers | 60c | 186.13$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Princeton Tigers | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Princeton Tigers | 50c | 61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Vermont Catamounts | 48c | 45.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Princeton Tigers | 47c | 39.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e8…5394backed Vermont Catamounts | 53c | 37.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…5cd6backed Princeton Tigers | 53c | 27.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dc…091fbacked Princeton Tigers | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-3.5)this page
- Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-1.5)Princeton Tigers won
- Vermont Catamounts vs. Princeton TigersPrinceton Tigers won
- Vermont Catamounts vs. Princeton Tigers: O/U 136.5Over won
- Vermont Catamounts vs. Princeton Tigers: O/U 137.5Over won
- Vermont Catamounts vs. Princeton Tigers: O/U 138.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.