South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-04-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fc9fc588faa6e6de822b85d902bb749e1897056248fe2ed784ded0d6f0976af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 14c | 13,926$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.67 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 3,651$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.22 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 25c | 1,146$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.5 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 22c | 1,009$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.93 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed No | 77c | 995.48$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.96 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 23c | 812.36$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.82 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 80c | 562.4$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 78c | 503.16$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.32 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 12c | 485.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 452.15$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 5c | 433.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 78c | 418.82$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.07 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 19c | 299.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa823…3327backed Yes | 23c | 240.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 19c | 234.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 23c | 206.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 78c | 201.26$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 79c | 154.13$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 147.96$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 16c | 144.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 20c | 143.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 21c | 136.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…a3bdbacked Yes | 23c | 127.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 79c | 121.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 23c | 109.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e7…2519backed Yes | 19c | 100.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 25c | 99.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 79c | 98.9$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 78c | 97.78$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked No | 78c | 91.43$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 23c | 82.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 77c | 78.74$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked No | 77c | 78.74$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 77c | 78.74$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked No | 77c | 78.74$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…604ebacked No | 77c | 70.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Yes | 24c | 59.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed No | 80c | 39.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 78c | 15.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked No | 77c | 15.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed No | 77c | 15.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-04-06?this page
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?No won
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-04-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.