South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dd0ac2f671b1461a9a92ae1d20f7206e16c94e3b64de0b912fba13defbb5775
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 32c | 2,878$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.72 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 1,845$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.36 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 31c | 996.44$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.66 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 31c | 638.18$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.84 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 514.98$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.76 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 68c | 360$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 68c | 249.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 249.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 68c | 249.22$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.72 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 70c | 210.43$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 17c | 206.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 68c | 180$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 152.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 68c | 129.65$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 31c | 121.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed No | 71c | 110.72$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 71c | 98.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 95.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 19c | 77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 32c | 73.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 69c | 59.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 51.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…1707backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 69c | 43.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 33c | 42.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 33c | 42.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 33c | 42.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 68c | 30.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 70c | 23.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2598…17dfbacked No | 70c | 22.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed No | 68c | 20.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed No | 70c | 17.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…10f6backed No | 70c | 16.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 78c | 13.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.93 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?this page
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-04-06?No won
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-04-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.