Other European Leagues · resolved market
PSV vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6ce1e28d710cc47ba20df072817279d389139e19972a2a4859e1ed866fb4305
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 2,298$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.05 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 60c | 2,139$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.58 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 54c | 743.87$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.42 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 641.75$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.18 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 44c | 452.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.01 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 372.45$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.76 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over | 59c | 337.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.64 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 323.7$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.67 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed Under | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 45c | 219.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4a…044ebacked Over | 51c | 197.73$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 114.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 53c | 100.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 99.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 41c | 72.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +10.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 69 | 71%49 W · 20 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x386b…6d36backed Under | 48c | 50.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42b…4747backed Under | 29c | 35.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 44c | 34.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7f…9e23backed Over | 78c | 33.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 39c | 32.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 44c | 31.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 52c | 30.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Over | 56c | 28.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 55c | 27.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 53c | 26.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked Over | 55c | 20.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PSV vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5this page
- PSV vs. SC Heerenveen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- PSV vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 1.5Over won
- PSV vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 2.5Over won
- PSV vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.