Other European Leagues · resolved market
PSV vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c67125851ab179245f0be36a506da4630039c05b87f27af73018272811bda4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Under | 67c | 2,108$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.71 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 60c | 890$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.2 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 69c | 577.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.72 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Over | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c34…dfafbacked Over | 35c | 381.09$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 34c | 371.44$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.12 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 48c | 365.19$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.88 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 29c | 334.83$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Over | 31c | 287$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.97 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 33c | 254.12$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.86 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 56c | 249.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 206.15$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.47 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 59c | 181.42$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.54 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 43c | 171.91$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 41c | 169.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 43c | 159.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 57c | 154.21$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.51 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 37c | 136.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 63c | 106.35$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Under | 62c | 92.81$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Under | 48c | 85.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 31c | 72.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7f…9e23backed Over | 27c | 60.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 65c | 59.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Over | 36c | 58.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 33c | 49.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Under | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 64c | 42.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 32c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 34c | 39.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…811bbacked Under | 48c | 38.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Over | 66c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d5…3506backed Under | 78c | 16.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PSV vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 4.5this page
- PSV vs. SC Heerenveen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- PSV vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 1.5Over won
- PSV vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 2.5Over won
- PSV vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.