Europa Conference League · resolved market
AFC Ajax vs. Shelbourne FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7e438d621e011852026666a3f7a645385b62054a04a05181e6dce16953234c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 38c | 9,245$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,744.62 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 6,373$4,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,224.66 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a7…674dbacked No | 14c | 5,833$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.99 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb018…51fbbacked No | 14c | 4,375$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa937…a334backed No | 13c | 3,750$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 78c | 3,204$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.68 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Yes | 34c | 3,015$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.11 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d2…399bbacked No | 14c | 2,917$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Yes | 34c | 2,485$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.96 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,813$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.74 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 64c | 1,171$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.44 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 64c | 1,091$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.19 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 1,029$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.57 | 695 | 48.9%340 W · 355 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 76c | 996.6$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.79 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed Yes | 36c | 987.1$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.06 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 69c | 752.96$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.15 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 37c | 675.87$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.8 | 387 | 53%205 W · 182 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…5166backed Yes | 77c | 650.24$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.24 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +5.0wins | +0.30per pick | 65cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…984abacked No | 21c | 572.36$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 68c | 441.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.74 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb1…e05ebacked Yes | 34c | 423.53$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 64c | 391.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 16c | 317.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.11 | 785 | 44.8%352 W · 433 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54e…bdf1backed Yes | 35c | 307.2$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.68 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…ac08backed Yes | 35c | 307.2$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.68 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 62c | 278.35$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.57 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 63c | 231$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.61 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed No | 65c | 152$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 36c | 141.62$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.69 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…3e8abacked Yes | 36c | 137.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +175.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 17c | 118.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 65c | 93.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 64c | 88.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 795 | 54.1%430 W · 365 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 69c | 62.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked No | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Yes | 35c | 49.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 51 | 74.5%38 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 62c | 44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 387 | 44.4%172 W · 215 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 35c | 42.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 34c | 38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 72c | 38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 74c | 29.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 71c | 24.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 75c | 23.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 62c | 19.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed No | 70c | 16.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Ajax vs. Shelbourne FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AFC Ajax vs. Shelbourne FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. Shelbourne FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. Shelbourne FC: AFC Ajax O/U 0.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. Shelbourne FC: AFC Ajax O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. Shelbourne FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. Shelbourne FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. Shelbourne FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. Shelbourne FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. Shelbourne FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. Shelbourne FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. Shelbourne FC: Shelbourne FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)AFC Ajax won
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-2.5)Shelbourne FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.