Golf · resolved market

Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b4b91b1cf59efa77f301a21e040b0503b1bd6480c6331b53606ef4333e6626e

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,890
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,886

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,890 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2375…691fbacked No	77c	463.63$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.7	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Yes	21c	328.03$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.61	62	14.5%9 W · 53 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No	64c	316.89$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.56	268	39.9%107 W · 161 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f6…e46cbacked Yes	30c	200$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes	37c	140$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.8	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-3.2wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	59c	113.14$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.92	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0813…d302backed No	63c	109.59$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.55	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef71…b6c7backed Yes	36c	106.05$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.47	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Yes	38c	104.9$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.47	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked No	60c	102.5$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+4.1wins	+0.28per pick	52cpaid	+64.2%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Yes	40c	98.81$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.52	38	2.6%1 W · 37 L	-4.0wins	-0.10per pick	13cpaid	-95.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb0d…712dbacked Yes	40c	60.25$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.1	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No	74c	58.36$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.19	225	46.7%105 W · 120 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	61c	54.62$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.3	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…b05ebacked Yes	32c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98c1…3d1ebacked No	68c	49.04$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.69	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1334…34cabacked Yes	39c	29.3$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.57	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event