TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Rory McIlroy finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,760
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,116

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,760 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb046…857cbacked No26c1,353$349 inLost-$348.53745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Yes43c449.54$193 inWon+$256.381533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No18c176.02$32 inLost-$32.3126839.9%107 W · 161 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No61c164.96$101 inLost-$100.631625%4 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb0eb…af1ebacked No15c156.17$24 inLost-$23.733915.4%6 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d28…ad43backed Yes43c122.27$53 inWon+$69.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes39c62.83$25 inWon+$38.335516.4%9 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-56%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb0d…712dbacked Yes39c56.82$22 inWon+$34.66922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-50.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes71c41.52$29 inWon+$12.0410850%54 W · 54 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes79c24.84$20 inWon+$5.2325449.2%125 W · 129 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.