TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,583
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,949

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,583 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb143…cadebacked Yes52c993.24$519 inWon+$474.366214.5%9 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-50.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No41c731.95$300 inLost-$300.13745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No40c517.46$207 inLost-$206.994436.4%16 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4746…4bc2backed Yes60c488$293 inWon+$195.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No47c446.94$210 inLost-$210.0625449.2%125 W · 129 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf653…8be5backed Yes65c405.31$263 inWon+$141.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No40c346.72$139 inLost-$138.69944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f1b…aa6cbacked No46c346.45$159 inLost-$159.37650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Yes59c330.75$195 inWon+$135.671533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No41c305.41$126 inLost-$126.0326839.9%107 W · 161 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8651…2465backed Yes59c235.77$139 inWon+$96.81520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-66.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No43c234.98$100 inLost-$100.381625%4 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes70c211.99$149 inWon+$63.122546.7%105 W · 120 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes20c176.07$34 inWon+$141.621050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b2…3caabacked No57c147.48$84 inLost-$84.42812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.36per pick48cpaid-80.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No15c133$20 inLost-$19.844932.7%16 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fc2…ac7dbacked Yes58c117.96$68 inWon+$49.73633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes59c100$59 inWon+$41560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Yes58c86.87$50 inWon+$36.491741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f7…2d3cbacked Yes51c76.69$39 inWon+$37.44771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9bb…e18cbacked Yes55c62.26$34 inWon+$28.212100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+191.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2e5…6607backed Yes55c35.39$19 inWon+$15.931241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb621…3106backed Yes60c32.78$20 inWon+$13.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4107…c4c5backed Yes76c29.99$23 inWon+$7.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-73.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.