Golf · resolved market

Will Bryson DeChambeau finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32173d25bc6b2491a8ae4050e5f669847e70d3c4f50016a7479a597a3e984bd6

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $9,352
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $9,200

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,352 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0813…d302backed No	59c	7,805$4,605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,200	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1040…aab0backed Yes	41c	7,529$3,087 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,086.72	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb143…cadebacked Yes	15c	400$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	62	14.5%9 W · 53 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes	9c	344.34$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.19	268	39.9%107 W · 161 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	61c	307.46$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.07	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No	61c	227.88$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.5	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fc2…ac7dbacked Yes	40c	156.65$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.66	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	39c	118.82$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.34	74	6.8%5 W · 69 L	-6.7wins	-0.09per pick	16cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb541…9022backed Yes	39c	98.81$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.54	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	60c	77.5$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	233	19.3%45 W · 188 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ac…a025backed Yes	40c	60.25$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.1	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes	19c	56.12$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.66	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-81.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb0d…712dbacked Yes	39c	51.21$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.97	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc6…1668backed Yes	39c	49.89$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.26	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.15per pick	18cpaid	+376.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	62c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.6	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Bryson DeChambeau finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event