Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a3b264db322d60d064c0d8d05559434f6bb392cf362e91d0dcb1411329df9e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Over | 42c | 13,227$5,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,678.24 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 7,244$4,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,201.62 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…84c5backed Under | 58c | 2,741$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Under | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 44c | 1,100$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.99 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Under | 55c | 288.96$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 258$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.98 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 56c | 223$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 56c | 222.35$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.33 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 55c | 110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 55c | 92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3419backed Under | 59c | 71.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed Under | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Under | 58c | 37.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Under | 58c | 37.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4742…6576backed Under | 56c | 36.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Over | 62c | 29.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…2079backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…4a73backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
- Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.