Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 12.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e7faf9c0baff60f89c12a9899258c577a9e773a927d53083a199c826230b9b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Over | 32c | 2,206$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79bd…5c31backed Under | 68c | 2,206$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 35c | 799.08$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.14 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 33c | 492.58$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.03 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 66c | 471$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.56 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 65c | 412.3$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.04 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 65c | 303.18$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.07 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Under | 67c | 268.66$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfc…4516backed Over | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…4c5cbacked Over | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.88 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 66c | 188.15$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.18 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 66c | 188.07$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.11 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…61a7backed Over | 34c | 76.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e7…4450backed Over | 34c | 45.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…672ebacked Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.