Fifa International · resolved market
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e04e5696dc9936c134c5a75a97d265f94361bfc9d40d015789f66f0a6f1e9ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 216 | 31%67 W · 149 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…d6c6backed Over | 21c | 9,399$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.4 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 216 | 40.7%88 W · 128 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…e7a8backed Over | 19c | 1,749$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.39 | 296 | 33.4%99 W · 197 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 80c | 1,400$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.61 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 80c | 1,376$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.23 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Under | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 18c | 1,204$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.75 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 78c | 1,193$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.09 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 80c | 1,063$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.88 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d71…ca3ebacked Under | 79c | 590$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.9 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 20c | 537.37$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.32 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 76c | 509.01$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.78 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 23c | 454.57$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.43 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 23c | 292.11$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 20c | 256.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Over | 19c | 198.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 79c | 150$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Over | 20c | 133.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 14c | 127.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…6e26backed Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 150 | 40.7%61 W · 89 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Under | 77c | 122$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 78c | 113.65$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 77c | 101$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 305 | 47.2%144 W · 161 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 77c | 99.62$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 79c | 77.8$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 77c | 74.12$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 79c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 24c | 51.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 80c | 46.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 77c | 40.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…140dbacked Under | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…a49dbacked Under | 76c | 32.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 78c | 29.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 70c | 28.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 79c | 27.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Under | 80c | 27.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Under | 80c | 27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 78c | 23.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 318 | 53.1%169 W · 149 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 79c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 79c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…8150backed Under | 79c | 14.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.97 | 56 | 82.1%46 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Australia O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Paraguay vs. Australia: Paraguay O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.