TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,302
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,324

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,302 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x57b4…b46bbacked Under72c5,544$3,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.4310059%59 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over28c4,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12029633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over12c3,399$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.921631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Over14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42052522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over29c1,750$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.521640.7%88 W · 128 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over19c1,603$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.032,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Over27c1,412$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.339551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under71c1,083$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.0861750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over15c946.22$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.492,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over27c682.72$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.332,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under73c636.05$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.33,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under73c483.69$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.61,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over16c445.34$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.871,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over11c404.82$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.482,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over41c370.16$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.7529347.4%139 W · 154 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over18c260.26$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.894,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under69c252.39$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.762,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x971c…60efbacked Under74c202.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.74035%14 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over27c197.03$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.788,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa739…19c8backed Over27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013141.2%54 W · 77 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Over30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5072424.7%179 W · 545 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf851…ef53backed Over38c133.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.944131.7%13 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6d3…71cfbacked Over28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2811939.5%47 W · 72 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over18c91$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.132,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over29c81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.112,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under61c80$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.91,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…e2e7backed Over30c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246347.6%30 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under73c73.24$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.843,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc86b…6e26backed Under72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4415040.7%61 W · 89 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Over37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under73c62.41$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.893,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Under71c59.03$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1236448.6%177 W · 187 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd26b…b09fbacked Over29c57.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5635714%50 W · 307 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over29c51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.631,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa54…a251backed Under71c30.93$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9321654.6%118 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Under63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.18149.4%40 W · 41 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under71c28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1225948.6%126 W · 133 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Under57c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.759144%40 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7569534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under53c24.54$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.581,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f45…db24backed Under72c20.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6414054.3%76 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Under67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.627554.5%150 W · 125 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under70c16.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8466056.8%375 W · 285 L+34.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.486656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.