TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Newport: Madison Brengle vs Kayla Cross

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Madison Brengleof Madison Brengle, Kayla Cross
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$198,045
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$194,350

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,045 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x547f…2937backed Kayla Cross10c98,831$10,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,134.629258.7%54 W · 38 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Kayla Cross30c20,146$6,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,011.715453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Madison Brengle70c3,859$2,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.723,62145.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L-3.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Madison Brengle71c3,849$2,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.314,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Madison Brengle69c2,436$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.7893140.4%376 W · 555 L-32.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb72…6532backed Madison Brengle71c1,434$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.714158.5%24 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x615d…bd5bbacked Madison Brengle71c1,434$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.714456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Kayla Cross29c1,380$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.233438.6%129 W · 205 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Madison Brengle71c1,157$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.537,74550.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L+93.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Kayla Cross42c999.99$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4209,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Madison Brengle62c790.56$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.762,21242.9%948 W · 1,264 L+34.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Kayla Cross51c771.12$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.2748555.9%271 W · 214 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcaa5…4859backed Madison Brengle71c740.52$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.753357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec11…953fbacked Kayla Cross43c610.42$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26513648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Madison Brengle77c548.02$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.682,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Madison Brengle65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1758551.8%44 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Kayla Cross42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1684,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Kayla Cross30c395.82$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.752,39438.4%920 W · 1,474 L+87.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Kayla Cross44c379.73$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.081,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2002…a75ebacked Madison Brengle70c375.62$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1430443.4%132 W · 172 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Madison Brengle58c374.41$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.251,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Kayla Cross30c328.65$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.66863.2%43 W · 25 L+8.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Kayla Cross29c314.65$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.752,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Kayla Cross31c289$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.891,95843.7%856 W · 1,102 L-21.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Madison Brengle49c256$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.561,31843.6%574 W · 744 L-23.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc369…b1ccbacked Kayla Cross33c231.83$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7738854.1%210 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Madison Brengle65c216.75$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.081,54049.2%758 W · 782 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Madison Brengle70c215.21$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.211,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6e5f…6ee5backed Madison Brengle71c203.79$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.127040%28 W · 42 L-8.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Kayla Cross38c177.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9350341.9%211 W · 292 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Madison Brengle65c173.68$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7942353%224 W · 199 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Madison Brengle65c168.34$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4879857.6%460 W · 338 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Kayla Cross28c157.83$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.191,01350.1%508 W · 505 L+36.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Madison Brengle67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2516755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Madison Brengle70c142.14$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.642,40451.7%1,244 W · 1,160 L+12.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Madison Brengle60c125.78$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8382847.3%392 W · 436 L-4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Kayla Cross42c120.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036349.6%180 W · 183 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x901b…59efbacked Kayla Cross17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029519.7%58 W · 237 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Kayla Cross11c109.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1238911.6%45 W · 344 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Madison Brengle47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3879646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Kayla Cross29c106.17$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7973048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Madison Brengle71c106$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.741,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Madison Brengle70c93.74$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.11,06157.4%609 W · 452 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Madison Brengle47c93.62$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.623,41239.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L-11.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Kayla Cross40c92$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.81,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14d5…8ba8backed Kayla Cross26c90$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.551827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-43.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Madison Brengle70c90$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.851,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32c6…bf45backed Madison Brengle65c86.03$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.112161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x767e…98cabacked Kayla Cross39c84.17$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3340661.3%249 W · 157 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Kayla Cross34c80.02$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.125,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b56…a082backed Madison Brengle71c79$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9141863.9%267 W · 151 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd93e…7434backed Kayla Cross15c77.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.589450%47 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Madison Brengle71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4291255.9%510 W · 402 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Madison Brengle71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4293055.9%520 W · 410 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Madison Brengle72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4444952.8%237 W · 212 L+1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Madison Brengle47c68.09$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.091,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe16…60bebacked Madison Brengle60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.677164.8%46 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Kayla Cross37c65.16$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1190152.3%471 W · 430 L-2.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed Madison Brengle60c62$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.832546.2%150 W · 175 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Kayla Cross36c56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.162,44235.8%874 W · 1,568 L-29.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb1…0073backed Madison Brengle72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.562642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Madison Brengle75c54.92$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5435649.4%176 W · 180 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Madison Brengle67c51.52$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1348245.6%220 W · 262 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Madison Brengle80c50.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1023581.7%192 W · 43 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick80cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Kayla Cross51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.557449.1%282 W · 292 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Madison Brengle64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.232562.5%203 W · 122 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Kayla Cross35c49.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.551835.1%182 W · 336 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x663e…9cf0backed Kayla Cross40c49.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6225237.3%94 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Madison Brengle63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.622,05659.5%1,224 W · 832 L-0.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33d2…9ac2backed Madison Brengle55c47.37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3214644.5%65 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xac06…f93dbacked Madison Brengle64c47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.924652.2%24 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Madison Brengle47c46.81$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.812,14237.3%799 W · 1,343 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Madison Brengle56c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6833256.6%188 W · 144 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Madison Brengle67c43.67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.563,80945.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L-35.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Madison Brengle71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2591354.9%501 W · 412 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Kayla Cross38c40.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.392237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd928…705fbacked Kayla Cross45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.127852.5%146 W · 132 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Kayla Cross41c37.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.341,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf442…2581backed Madison Brengle55c37.06$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.57275%54 W · 18 L+11.5wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+21.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Kayla Cross41c36.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7232726.9%88 W · 239 L-43.6wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-41.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Kayla Cross35c36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61,82853.1%971 W · 857 L-44.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bbe…f8d9backed Kayla Cross40c35.46$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0910233.3%34 W · 68 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdbe…e45bbacked Madison Brengle71c34.49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1033048.8%161 W · 169 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Madison Brengle60c31.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.434,15952.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L+66.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce8b…738abacked Kayla Cross40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1222230.6%68 W · 154 L-25.6wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Madison Brengle71c28.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.446,74048.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L+58.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Madison Brengle62c24.88$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.372,07944.4%923 W · 1,156 L-52.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x205d…2ad2backed Madison Brengle72c24.09$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7522366.8%149 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ff0…53a1backed Kayla Cross50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122060%12 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1039…2914backed Madison Brengle65c22.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9728263.8%180 W · 102 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58cc…6415backed Madison Brengle65c20.15$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0511851.7%61 W · 57 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Kayla Cross51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.292352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Kayla Cross51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1539451.3%202 W · 192 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Madison Brengle71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.881959.3%486 W · 333 L+2.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31b…200bbacked Madison Brengle50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107751.9%40 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x362c…67e6backed Madison Brengle76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.937255.6%207 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Kayla Cross51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb920…7922backed Madison Brengle62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.562524%6 W · 19 L-6.6wins-0.26per pick50cpaid-61.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Madison Brengle70c19.71$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.912,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed Madison Brengle63c18.87$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9726764.8%173 W · 94 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.