Europa Conference League · resolved market
Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x665f3e292efa3c2a85e08441c4ec39590079b58d494197c61f957e0c90a9d082
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfce…b388backed Under | 57c | 424.13$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.52 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Over | 34c | 336.59$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.43 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 35c | 300.95$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 64c | 253.7$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.33 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 61c | 199.23$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Under | 64c | 181.54$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd119…28abbacked Over | 36c | 133.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 64c | 133.4$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 66c | 116.57$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.63 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcda…9c88backed Over | 36c | 100.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 69c | 99.77$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e8…2137backed Under | 66c | 44.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 66c | 42.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 61c | 30.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…ac80backed Under | 66c | 17.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.