Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique Lyonnais vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30dd70fbf057ee3245b91894424c7919ac52f37c5079d54fbe433c4eb3a2b393
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Over | 65c | 26,352$17,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,128.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 36cpaid | +148.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Over | 51c | 24,509$12,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,559.11 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -67%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 35c | 14,654$5,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,526.81 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…7c9bbacked Under | 49c | 9,011$4,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,595.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 8,954$3,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,319.86 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Under | 77c | 6,195$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 46c | 5,921$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,209.16 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked Under | 49c | 4,236$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Over | 12c | 3,964$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 44c | 3,483$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.64 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 56c | 3,477$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 54c | 3,396$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.35 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 48c | 2,362$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 1,674$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.55 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 1,591$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.34 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 24c | 1,528$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.03 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 46c | 1,215$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.1 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 42c | 1,207$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.55 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 40c | 1,205$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.27 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 40c | 1,205$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.27 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 1,179$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.55 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 39c | 1,140$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.66 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 41c | 1,080$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.24 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 1,029$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.34 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd119…28abbacked Over | 56c | 869.29$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 43c | 828.36$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.11 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 45c | 818.18$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.49 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 55c | 681.23$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.95 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 47c | 634.84$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.3 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf171…85febacked Under | 47c | 618$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 49c | 592.72$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 47c | 578.2$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.11 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 47c | 512.16$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.07 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Over | 54c | 469.81$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 35c | 446.27$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.33 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 45c | 423.87$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.37 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 57c | 416.91$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 56c | 389.32$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.81 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 39c | 380.04$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Over | 73c | 372.26$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +199.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Over | 35c | 348.64$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Under | 61c | 336.7$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.31 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ba82backed Under | 47c | 309$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.77 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 55c | 307.96$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.18 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 34c | 282.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 39c | 243.72$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.89 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 31c | 241.61$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.73 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 80c | 226.82$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 55c | 208.57$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.82 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 55c | 207.32$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.03 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 55c | 202.45$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.35 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 49c | 198.71$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.79 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 49c | 198.71$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.79 | 123 | 67.5%83 W · 40 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 49c | 198.71$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.79 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 49c | 198.71$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.79 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 49c | 198.71$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.79 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +37%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4b…f7fdbacked Under | 45c | 197.7$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Over | 57c | 194.84$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.06 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Under | 48c | 185.69$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.2wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked Over | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…0551backed Over | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 33c | 176.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…1e6dbacked Under | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 49c | 153.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.36 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 49c | 150.24$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Under | 48c | 150.16$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 49c | 142.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 46c | 139.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.33 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 62c | 135.55$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 46c | 131.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.09 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 58c | 126.72$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 46c | 123$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 59c | 116.13$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 44c | 113.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 48c | 112.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.44 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 48c | 104.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 46c | 104.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 96.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 54c | 88.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 48c | 80.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…3655backed Over | 39c | 77.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 54c | 76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 66c | 72.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…f450backed Over | 66c | 68.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Under | 42c | 64.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 55c | 61.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5this page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. FC Lorient: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. FC Lorient: O/U 3.5Under won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. FC Lorient: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)FC Lorient won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.