Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique Lyonnais vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2df75764fd2ee97d67ebb9359809a43616b9b8629a3017e38732e42d43eaa20c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 47c | 2,571$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.4 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 53c | 1,794$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.98 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 27c | 1,200$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.98 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes | 56c | 434.64$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.4 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a2…468cbacked No | 46c | 399.96$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.98 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 27c | 350.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 51c | 244.9$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Yes | 50c | 225.8$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 223.86$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 50c | 222.63$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.46 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…e885backed No | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8792…0274backed No | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed No | 49c | 182.5$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.2wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 27c | 178.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 70c | 151.16$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 73c | 134.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +37%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 70c | 129.14$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 70c | 126.96$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Yes | 54c | 114.36$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 74c | 108.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 74c | 108.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Yes | 27c | 106.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 74c | 105.85$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63e7…3d5cbacked Yes | 23c | 91.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 85.42$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…46c4backed Yes | 51c | 75.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 62c | 43.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed No | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…0ef8backed No | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 38.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 40c | 37.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 50c | 36.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 58c | 28.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 59c | 28.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 59c | 28.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 59c | 28.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 74c | 24.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 70c | 24.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 52c | 23.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298e…8a75backed Yes | 56c | 21.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 50c | 21.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked No | 50c | 21.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 50c | 21.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 62c | 18.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. FC Lorient: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5Under won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. FC Lorient: O/U 3.5Under won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. FC Lorient: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)FC Lorient won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.