Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e0a8040b62423b6e3c929a97bd08a258d081914c286ccc9db3370c64d757e86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olympique Lyonnaisof Olympique Lyonnais, FC Lorient
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked FC Lorient | 64c | 972.61$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.03 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed FC Lorient | 68c | 938.96$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.16 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Olympique Lyonnais | 37c | 520.11$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.67 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Lorient | 55c | 491.56$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.6 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Olympique Lyonnais | 37c | 467.7$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.65 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed FC Lorient | 63c | 437.69$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.5 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 36c | 420$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.8 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Olympique Lyonnais | 32c | 419.14$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.13 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Olympique Lyonnais | 35c | 398.13$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.78 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…e997backed Olympique Lyonnais | 35c | 302.03$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb70…e2dcbacked FC Lorient | 42c | 296.41$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed FC Lorient | 17c | 168.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked FC Lorient | 57c | 158$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.55 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Olympique Lyonnais | 32c | 156$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed FC Lorient | 66c | 121.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Olympique Lyonnais | 57c | 107.79$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Olympique Lyonnais | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 95.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC Lorient | 22c | 92.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Olympique Lyonnais | 38c | 81.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Olympique Lyonnais | 49c | 71.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 67.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703a…8f98backed Olympique Lyonnais | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 22c | 51.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 43.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Lorient | 56c | 31.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Olympique Lyonnais | 37c | 28.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed Olympique Lyonnais | 80c | 18.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)this page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. FC Lorient: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5Under won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. FC Lorient: O/U 3.5Under won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. FC Lorient: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)FC Lorient won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.