Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-04-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9edd3c4d6caee734a12398dd9a286c9c8fffd7c55fddba569e11b7a634403db7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 48c | 2,065$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 32c | 2,000$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.18 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 1,658$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.13 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 47c | 842.19$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.83 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 53c | 809.44$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.15 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed No | 53c | 549.58$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.74 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 46c | 532.61$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 33c | 506.64$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.12 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…c790backed Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7519…3bd5backed Yes | 23c | 425.72$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1317backed Yes | 47c | 406.11$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.7 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x214a…408abacked No | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 346$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.08 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked No | 53c | 327.23$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +214.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 45c | 322.22$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 25c | 291.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.13 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…80d1backed No | 58c | 270$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 74c | 256.88$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.44 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 40c | 255$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 55c | 212.77$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.75 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 47c | 180.27$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 73c | 180$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Yes | 27c | 167.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…a830backed Yes | 17c | 157.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 16c | 155.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 56c | 152.59$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.39 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Yes | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 28c | 132.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 64c | 120.02$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6a…db02backed No | 73c | 88.82$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked No | 56c | 87.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 28c | 78.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 50c | 57.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 76c | 56.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 69c | 51.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 61c | 49.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4f…e9f1backed Yes | 23c | 47.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 63c | 47.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Yes | 23c | 45.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6933…7ea3backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 43.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 77c | 40.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked No | 75c | 37.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…a6a4backed Yes | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 33c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 76c | 31.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Yes | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 25.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 67c | 22.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…a505backed No | 62c | 22.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 67c | 21.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-04-28?this page
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-04-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.