Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b34206dbe77bd7a6f2254c4856e8f767682088a2e105a00d9289a89d01fd885
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45d7…c9a5backed No | 0c | 15,015$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc2…e51bbacked No | 0c | 5,065$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 15c | 4,437$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.4 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 2,655$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.04 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 48c | 1,450$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.78 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 68c | 736.15$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.15 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 58c | 456.84$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.29 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 25c | 440$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 13c | 398.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 28c | 361.03$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +214.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 29c | 340$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.4 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 54c | 307.78$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.2 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 41c | 300$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.41 | 488 | 67.8%331 W · 157 L | +68.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 3c | 299$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 21c | 272.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 70c | 270.14$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.94 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 24c | 227.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 12c | 219$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 29c | 209.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.84 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Yes | 51c | 195$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 49c | 188.02$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.31 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 12c | 176.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 9c | 117$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 51c | 91.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 25c | 78.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…a505backed No | 35c | 70.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 44c | 67.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 31c | 66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 50c | 60.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 56c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 25c | 43.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 43.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 77c | 43.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ac…4a12backed Yes | 79c | 42.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc6…1cedbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…85b5backed Yes | 65c | 34.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 51c | 32.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 42c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 74c | 21.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed No | 74c | 20.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…f019backed Yes | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd762…9ebfbacked No | 80c | 12.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-04-28?No won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-04-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.