Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-04-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9334afe9cbe7a21053d03d34afb5e99728551033bb65fba009b53d95fda73cc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 55c | 8,470$4,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,828.34 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 44c | 5,653$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.01 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 67c | 4,115$2,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.23 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9c…4695backed Yes | 27c | 3,608$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 53c | 2,474$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.77 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 67c | 2,157$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.84 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked No | 52c | 2,000$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.1 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 47c | 1,903$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.81 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 1,529$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.98 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed No | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…aba4backed No | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked No | 73c | 1,011$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 53c | 779.02$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.88 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 51c | 499.07$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.5 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 53c | 477.36$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 47c | 447.36$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.73 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab4…e210backed Yes | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 42c | 359.48$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.3 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Yes | 54c | 225.59$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed No | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 47c | 223.07$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.22 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 46c | 214.8$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.76 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…952dbacked Yes | 14c | 212.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…e118backed Yes | 28c | 172.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 66c | 155.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 47c | 149.46$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…d85fbacked No | 73c | 129.86$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 52c | 109.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 45c | 107.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 13c | 105.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 49c | 102.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 76c | 95.96$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 28c | 94.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 46c | 92.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 27c | 91.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +214.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 59c | 90.66$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 75c | 85.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 48c | 79.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed Yes | 53c | 73.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 43c | 70.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 78c | 65.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…43c9backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…48a0backed No | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…4248backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 45c | 59.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 22c | 59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 48c | 52.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed No | 56c | 49.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 54c | 48.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 52c | 47.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed No | 46c | 46.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 47c | 41.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99f…0d86backed Yes | 39c | 39.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed No | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 34c | 38.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 42c | 38.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…a505backed No | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 67c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8736…dfaebacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 62c | 24.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed No | 70c | 21.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-04-28?this page
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-04-28?No won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.