CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x264307fb9ae2f30425cff9fd9265495654c1da82201e971d8b614bfe8c0c5f13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Hashiras, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Hashiras | 62c | 1,061$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.35 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Misa Esports | 41c | 748.25$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.96 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Misa Esports | 39c | 548.62$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.76 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Misa Esports | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Misa Esports | 51c | 363.4$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.61 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Misa Esports | 38c | 333.44$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.73 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Hashiras | 62c | 318.44$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.43 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…4197backed Hashiras | 59c | 295.8$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.52 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d17…9054backed Misa Esports | 54c | 250$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.46 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +217.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Hashiras | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hashiras | 46c | 239.76$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.48 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Misa Esports | 65c | 220.05$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.37 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Hashiras | 45c | 218.14$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.16 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Hashiras | 61c | 203.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.64 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Misa Esports | 41c | 196.62$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.33 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Misa Esports | 38c | 189.97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.78 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Misa Esports | 53c | 186.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.33 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Hashiras | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Hashiras | 18c | 164.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Hashiras | 60c | 163.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 217 | 52.5%114 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Hashiras | 62c | 152.03$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.91 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Misa Esports | 40c | 149.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.63 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Misa Esports | 37c | 145.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.75 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Hashiras | 49c | 128$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Misa Esports | 39c | 123.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.08 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Hashiras | 50c | 119.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Hashiras | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Hashiras | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Hashiras | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31d…e7a4backed Hashiras | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Hashiras | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed Misa Esports | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Misa Esports | 65c | 99.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Misa Esports | 41c | 95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked Hashiras | 59c | 85.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Hashiras | 59c | 61.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Hashiras | 62c | 59.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ff…b8debacked Misa Esports | 40c | 58.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Misa Esports | 37c | 53.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Misa Esports | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed Hashiras | 59c | 50.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Misa Esports | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…7a99backed Hashiras | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Misa Esports | 39c | 49.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Misa Esports | 64c | 48.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Hashiras | 49c | 48.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Hashiras | 63c | 47.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Hashiras | 50c | 42.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Misa Esports | 65c | 42.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Misa Esports | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Misa Esports | 39c | 40.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Hashiras | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 260 | 48.5%126 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Misa Esports | 39c | 38.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -22.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Hashiras | 58c | 37.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Misa Esports | 54c | 37.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked Hashiras | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Misa Esports | 39c | 27.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 157 | 65%102 W · 55 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Misa Esports | 40c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Hashiras | 61c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Hashiras | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 203 | 53.2%108 W · 95 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…74f2backed Hashiras | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Misa Esports - Map 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Misa Esports - Map 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.