Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: ROSE vs YFP Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6aa387fb7517154fb16d3a7230f7ccf89f5d964ccf491fe877c42d02ea4812f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- YFP Gamingof ROSE, YFP Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed YFP Gaming | 75c | 14,634$10,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,686.07 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed ROSE | 26c | 12,566$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,230.4 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6060…31c4backed ROSE | 2c | 3,209$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…75cfbacked YFP Gaming | 63c | 2,041$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.98 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ROSE | 26c | 1,088$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.09 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed ROSE | 36c | 1,082$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked ROSE | 34c | 1,073$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed YFP Gaming | 75c | 1,052$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.08 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed YFP Gaming | 66c | 1,001$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.34 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ROSE | 25c | 717.67$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.45 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed ROSE | 15c | 564.85$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed ROSE | 36c | 530$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.41 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -6.6wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked YFP Gaming | 65c | 508.05$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.98 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed ROSE | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x384d…d922backed ROSE | 33c | 437.89$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed YFP Gaming | 76c | 424$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.2 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed ROSE | 32c | 393$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.42 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacb…6c67backed ROSE | 17c | 392.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ROSE | 18c | 378.18$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed ROSE | 39c | 301.64$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.39 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…cf6bbacked ROSE | 33c | 299.87$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked ROSE | 36c | 289.91$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.37 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…80fdbacked ROSE | 24c | 250.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked YFP Gaming | 65c | 246.59$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…d1acbacked ROSE | 34c | 237.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed YFP Gaming | 61c | 220$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked ROSE | 35c | 215.21$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked ROSE | 30c | 203.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked YFP Gaming | 64c | 186$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ROSE | 21c | 175.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked YFP Gaming | 74c | 167.44$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked YFP Gaming | 73c | 163.49$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa0…ead1backed YFP Gaming | 62c | 162.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b1…0e7bbacked ROSE | 33c | 145.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed YFP Gaming | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…c8d1backed ROSE | 14c | 143.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ROSE | 19c | 140.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed YFP Gaming | 80c | 130.73$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed YFP Gaming | 66c | 105$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed ROSE | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 193 | 37.8%73 W · 120 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked ROSE | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed YFP Gaming | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked YFP Gaming | 79c | 86.45$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed ROSE | 31c | 74.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked ROSE | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed ROSE | 16c | 68.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed ROSE | 21c | 66.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed ROSE | 32c | 57.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed ROSE | 33c | 51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed ROSE | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed ROSE | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…1373backed YFP Gaming | 77c | 38.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked YFP Gaming | 65c | 38.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked YFP Gaming | 65c | 36.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 158 | 42.4%67 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked ROSE | 37c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…9fe7backed YFP Gaming | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked ROSE | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6e…b0a3backed YFP Gaming | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…6354backed YFP Gaming | 74c | 19.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: ROSE vs YFP Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: ROSE vs YFP Gaming - Map 1 WinnerYFP Gaming won
- Valorant: ROSE vs YFP Gaming - Map 2 WinnerYFP Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.