Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sumter: Malaika Rapolu vs Cadence Brace
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4efeca7476d91e4e40f1c34d411526bf49290c4a3ab8177f3ded8d7bd3e975e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cadence Braceof Malaika Rapolu, Cadence Brace
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bfa…a8debacked Malaika Rapolu | 24c | 673.92$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Malaika Rapolu | 36c | 416.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.11 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Malaika Rapolu | 24c | 334.82$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cadence Brace | 70c | 306.68$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.79 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Malaika Rapolu | 16c | 175.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Cadence Brace | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Malaika Rapolu | 17c | 142.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Malaika Rapolu | 18c | 139.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Malaika Rapolu | 10c | 114.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Malaika Rapolu | 21c | 106.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Malaika Rapolu | 23c | 94.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Malaika Rapolu | 22c | 86.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Malaika Rapolu | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Cadence Brace | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Cadence Brace | 67c | 73.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Cadence Brace | 77c | 45.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…7d2ebacked Cadence Brace | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Cadence Brace | 73c | 29.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Cadence Brace | 72c | 27.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Cadence Brace | 75c | 19.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.