TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs GenOne (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gentle Matesof Gentle Mates, GenOne
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,996
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,043

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,996 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b97…8d30backed GenOne35c8,752$3,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,065.6466851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked GenOne45c5,656$2,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,542.2775652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Gentle Mates54c5,580$2,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,583.8734559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Gentle Mates79c3,959$3,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.4614051.4%72 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed GenOne23c3,664$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.532,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked GenOne22c3,174$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.445,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Gentle Mates55c2,700$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,21543951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36f9…4df8backed Gentle Mates52c2,513$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.2618356.3%103 W · 80 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Gentle Mates76c2,171$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.1348350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed Gentle Mates53c1,800$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.8564058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab9…d821backed Gentle Mates79c1,304$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.934055%22 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Gentle Mates76c1,288$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.3228455.6%158 W · 126 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed GenOne45c1,106$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.252,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef88…d62cbacked GenOne21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed GenOne26c973.09$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.535,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed GenOne22c971.15$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.651,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed GenOne37c914.7$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.472,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9438…e019backed GenOne28c759.07$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.549642.7%41 W · 55 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed GenOne23c739.14$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17084958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed Gentle Mates54c675.83$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.0445465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed GenOne38c657.67$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.75,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Gentle Mates75c625.28$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.3248562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gentle Mates77c575.43$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3480942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed GenOne45c555.23$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.2716544.8%74 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaaf…051bbacked Gentle Mates79c503.16$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6611148.6%54 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf3f…0aa4backed GenOne21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked GenOne21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1056740.3%27 W · 40 L-8.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked GenOne44c490.29$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.913,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed GenOne54c490.05$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.8438037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…8d97backed Gentle Mates65c489.21$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.2632662%202 W · 124 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked Gentle Mates76c457.1$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.6941069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Gentle Mates76c456.71$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.612650%13 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed GenOne44c426.7$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.682,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed Gentle Mates72c421.39$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4218338.8%71 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed Gentle Mates75c418.67$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6722044.5%98 W · 122 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked Gentle Mates53c415.77$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.4112950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8248…c0b2backed GenOne23c400$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020750.7%105 W · 102 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed Gentle Mates74c389.54$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3835861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x202f…7b58backed Gentle Mates77c364.79$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.295536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x623d…3aeebacked Gentle Mates77c364.16$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1610137.6%38 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Gentle Mates75c363.16$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.847,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcac4…d1acbacked Gentle Mates76c340.54$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.232040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Gentle Mates54c329.57$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.627552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed GenOne37c314.81$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.556,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Gentle Mates46c314.42$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.4253034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cbf…c53cbacked GenOne34c308.57$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1f3…becfbacked Gentle Mates53c305.09$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.291060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Gentle Mates76c304.28$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2854543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed GenOne25c299.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked GenOne36c289.14$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.412,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed GenOne26c280$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.82,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Gentle Mates53c269.76$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1433354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed Gentle Mates55c249.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.530155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed GenOne46c243.78$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5140141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed GenOne46c242$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.382,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc54d…05f6backed Gentle Mates75c242$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.51330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5596…e85dbacked Gentle Mates76c241.54$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Gentle Mates55c231$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9566446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed GenOne22c208.85$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.164,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed GenOne48c207.59$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.291743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae10…09e3backed Gentle Mates77c206.81$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.576251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Gentle Mates79c205.24$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.188242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Gentle Mates46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.121,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked GenOne51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Gentle Mates79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4283543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked GenOne25c199.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014137.6%53 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Gentle Mates57c196.49$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4947447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8da6…107abacked Gentle Mates54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1912948.8%63 W · 66 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked GenOne48c182$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.972,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Gentle Mates78c180$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.291945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Gentle Mates73c178.33$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.664,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7365…9589backed Gentle Mates71c168.21$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2329455.8%164 W · 130 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked GenOne20c166.48$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.358343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Gentle Mates61c164.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0758149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked GenOne23c163.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3974653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83ba…2404backed Gentle Mates62c160.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1221856%122 W · 96 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Gentle Mates61c150.21$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.081,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed GenOne29c144.17$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8115954.1%86 W · 73 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Gentle Mates75c138.3$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5746447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed Gentle Mates60c132.42$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4259354.8%325 W · 268 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Gentle Mates49c125.41$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0130348.5%147 W · 156 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb1…96e1backed Gentle Mates79c124$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.991435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x956d…b750backed GenOne40c123.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506747.8%32 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x206c…2b8dbacked Gentle Mates77c122$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.066744.8%30 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed GenOne25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3045645.2%206 W · 250 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Gentle Mates73c119.74$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.921,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked GenOne21c119$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9919147.1%90 W · 101 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba9e…14fcbacked GenOne61c118.61$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.43036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked GenOne27c115.15$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.953,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked GenOne28c113.68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.32,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked GenOne47c110.87$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.223,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed GenOne23c108.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.22,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Gentle Mates75c104.17$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4299148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe62c…d9a6backed GenOne42c102.03$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5110151.5%52 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6766…0db2backed Gentle Mates48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.924959.2%29 W · 20 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+29.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Gentle Mates61c100.88$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.774,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f11…7031backed GenOne60c100.3$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed GenOne28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2839440.4%159 W · 235 L+30.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Gentle Mates74c99.98$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9914454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Gentle Mates57c98.61$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.611,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.