CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78daf5ded90529646fc6d2f8ead57dc9e25769a1ed95ad47f14145f08d360379
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GenOneof Gentle Mates, GenOne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed GenOne | 50c | 4,853$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.52 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Gentle Mates | 50c | 1,780$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Gentle Mates | 50c | 1,158$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.18 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked Gentle Mates | 50c | 992$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked GenOne | 46c | 671.04$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.2 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Gentle Mates | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed Gentle Mates | 50c | 305$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Gentle Mates | 51c | 247.28$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.64 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked GenOne | 46c | 229.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…27b7backed Gentle Mates | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked GenOne | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.25 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed GenOne | 50c | 187.28$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.44 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…3480backed Gentle Mates | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…22e4backed Gentle Mates | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Gentle Mates | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbff…b7a7backed Gentle Mates | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 101.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Gentle Mates | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…0c10backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 68.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Gentle Mates | 50c | 59.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +11.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Gentle Mates | 49c | 55.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…e653backed Gentle Mates | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked GenOne | 49c | 38.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed Gentle Mates | 54c | 35.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Gentle Mates | 53c | 19.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs GenOne (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 PlayoffsGentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs GenOne - Map 1 WinnerGenOne won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs GenOne - Map 2 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.