Asian League · resolved market
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7db4bcff762399c9d6fcfdb524eae3e826554e9374292f63cca5231267b88337
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 54c | 3,109$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.06 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 3,033$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.79 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 27c | 2,770$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.76 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Yes | 46c | 2,176$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 54c | 2,054$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.29 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +249%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 20c | 1,292$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.86 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 46c | 1,234$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.53 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 53c | 1,185$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.41 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 55c | 786.37$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c5…5ad1backed Yes | 19c | 508.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes | 20c | 464.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.79 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 54c | 310.01$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.61 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed No | 52c | 206.64$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Yes | 50c | 184.08$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 43c | 163.77$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 27c | 140.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 40c | 137.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 67c | 131.21$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 19c | 128.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 54c | 120.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 116.95$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dea…774cbacked Yes | 51c | 111.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…0904backed Yes | 46c | 110.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 51c | 105$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 40c | 104.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe4…70c1backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Yes | 39c | 90.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 41c | 89.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 46c | 87.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes | 35c | 86.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 37c | 84.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed No | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 45c | 73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 53c | 71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 45c | 71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5492…d420backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 50cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2f…20a5backed Yes | 46c | 52.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 50c | 51.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked No | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 47c | 42.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…55d7backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked No | 52c | 39.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked No | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 67c | 33.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 53c | 32.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 75c | 32.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked No | 55c | 30.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes | 41c | 29.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 57c | 27.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 77c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 47c | 25.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 67c | 24.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5af6…759bbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will Nagoya Grampus vs. Shimizu S-Pulse end in a draw?No won
- Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-08-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.