TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-08-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$172,534
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$174,010

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,534 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b62…5cc8backed No44c16,000$6,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,036.414768.1%32 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes32c15,580$4,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,964.292,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No40c12,288$4,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,421.631136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No65c11,653$7,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,080.632,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes62c9,429$5,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,824.1549136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No61c9,217$5,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,583.068,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes60c7,711$4,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,647.21,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fd…442fbacked Yes36c5,379$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,936.2720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes62c5,124$3,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,154.378756.3%49 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked Yes25c5,103$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.296131.1%19 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+30.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Yes27c5,000$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.463928.2%11 W · 28 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes57c4,714$2,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,670.973,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No40c3,921$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.4131039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef36…85e6backed No76c3,631$2,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No76c3,280$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.9421252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No37c3,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,89034747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No58c2,818$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.275240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked No72c2,809$2,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.083557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6590…c782backed Yes60c2,558$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes31c2,487$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.5223733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes60c2,247$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.25358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No38c2,074$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.321,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No74c2,014$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.621366.7%142 W · 71 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes18c2,003$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.1350643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No75c1,971$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.223,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No42c1,501$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.333652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes28c1,339$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.6512740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes25c1,284$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.8336339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes35c1,278$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.36048.3%29 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed No62c1,260$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.0319155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes56c1,235$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.111,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe432…934abacked Yes1c1,171$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.962937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes55c1,132$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.642962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes60c1,054$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.42240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No37c1,047$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.861,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes39c1,025$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006949.3%34 W · 35 L+9.1wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+25.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No38c1,018$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.561,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes31c1,017$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.3537540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56012737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No75c999.08$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.635446.3%25 W · 29 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed No41c820.73$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.58746%40 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked No75c786.85$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed No68c784.36$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.3612755.9%71 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Yes63c723$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.491968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes62c678.37$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.8166837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed No73c670.11$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.938337.3%31 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9f8…0108backed Yes62c645$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes16c629.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4782434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes20c608.7$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.1435046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes19c600.47$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.18347%39 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Yes60c548.51$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.4816751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Yes63c501$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.63771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No64c493.16$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.6832139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed Yes60c483.87$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.32933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Yes63c451$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.13771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+34.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed No78c416.91$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.5212156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No40c413.91$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.1178756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004944.9%22 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9661…36f6backed Yes36c373$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.961838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes15c359.32$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.919437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Yes63c357$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.913043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a1d…3fa1backed Yes16c332$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.551478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+31.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No62c330.76$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.6911143.2%48 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes33c329.38$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2857540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes60c329$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.48551.8%44 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes23c327.22$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4125635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f8…2ed6backed Yes63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No63c309.97$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.161,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006827.9%19 W · 49 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No41c278.56$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.3551749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9c…8927backed Yes59c267.78$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.97475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked No38c263.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.152975.9%22 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed No62c263.14$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9917051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed No39c257$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.77540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1509122%20 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes12c230.75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6730847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes17c220.95$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0421938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No63c205.81$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.515,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked No67c200$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.66887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick56cpaid+52.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed No66c190.87$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9816449.4%81 W · 83 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed No61c187$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.931070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Yes63c184$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.92650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No63c181.39$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4769453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No65c179.58$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.241,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4288…bf2ebacked Yes27c177.78$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39d…aa9dbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked Yes42c165.45$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.494362.8%27 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Yes63c160$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.81457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6fc…9d95backed Yes63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd09…8974backed Yes32c156$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.923743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Yes23c154.63$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.596526.2%17 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes39c150.3$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.251945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes64c145$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.948547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Yes63c142$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.46862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+36%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes25c141.14$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.784252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No37c139.24$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7218247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Yes25c137.6$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.422145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes44c134.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6220665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Yes63c130.68$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.331457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+68%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No37c125.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3713828.3%39 W · 99 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.