TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Club Puebla win on 2026-08-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$294,952
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$314,863

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,952 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe23c…5ae7backed No33c15,873$5,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,191.65248.1%25 W · 27 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+10.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes53c14,911$7,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,026.6431349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes49c11,798$5,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,961.5523733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No51c10,887$5,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,590.562,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No47c9,895$4,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,654.931,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes47c8,697$4,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,630.292,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Yes78c8,023$6,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,755.1119155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes27c5,632$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,115.198,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes28c5,059$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,644.883,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked No29c4,961$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.5610933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed No21c4,196$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.1710128.7%29 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No51c4,066$2,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.9775240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No48c2,599$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.4111143.2%48 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27e4…4803backed No60c2,500$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes57c2,448$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.0511039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…5782backed No23c2,354$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb78…f224backed No23c2,354$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked Yes58c2,281$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.83557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Yes41c2,097$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.5521538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No34c1,897$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.519122%20 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No56c1,829$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.6537540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes12c1,749$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.042470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+47.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked No57c1,718$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.262240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No53c1,553$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.8812740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes61c1,363$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.8340242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes65c1,338$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.3721252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes79c1,329$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.6124665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes46c1,304$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.352171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No56c1,236$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.4736339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa9…deabbacked No24c1,192$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.8330%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes9c1,148$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.6382434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd9f…c675backed Yes44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.362948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes15c1,055$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.4634747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8f…b9b2backed No27c925.92$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No64c886.36$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.725635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No70c845.74$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.415446.3%25 W · 29 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Yes46c797.39$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.4310446.2%48 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No50c778.01$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.785,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No56c724.54$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.741,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes53c694.9$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.6545746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No65c683.36$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.778268.3%56 W · 26 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes61c631.5$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.1430048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1bf…b8e1backed Yes58c510.23$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.675841.4%24 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05b2…953bbacked No14c502.71$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.382450%12 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked No47c502.21$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.045048%24 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes36c500.73$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.5832139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked No47c494$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.183366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No19c481.39$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.149149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No48c476.05$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.8389846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes14c463$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.1849136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes16c438$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.9238233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes16c426.28$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.088756.3%49 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No14c403.07$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4311640.5%47 W · 69 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1d…f2dfbacked No21c376$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.162650%13 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+39.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked No56c357.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed No53c345$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.91643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No31c330.95$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.755466.7%36 W · 18 L+7.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes13c322.24$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.3557540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes53c318.34$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.5720065%130 W · 70 L+18.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5699259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes31c264.35$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.4669453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4709backed Yes34c250.29$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.291250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No14c246$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.671,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No29c243.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5123044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes39c243$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7148547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes39c229.44$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.191070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed No49c225.81$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3116449.4%81 W · 83 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes68c215.94$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.88347%39 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No30c215.9$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.771,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No78c200$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15618359%108 W · 75 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed No45c191.89$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.499632.3%31 W · 65 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Yes24c187.9$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.863743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes33c185.8$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2819349.2%95 W · 98 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd09…8974backed Yes32c181.8$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.883743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes34c180$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7772058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Yes22c178.09$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.1113856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked No21c170.91$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.237651.3%39 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca75…05a6backed Yes54c170.24$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.073542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No68c163.06$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8829047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes16c159.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.461,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No67c150$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10135246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No59c141.19$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.744252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f1…f02dbacked No47c132.13$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.11353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d40…ba95backed No37c113.11$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.531747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No33c111$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6319953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x834d…0c31backed Yes22c111$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.58650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+100.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…bf6cbacked Yes55c104.02$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.051573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+31.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked Yes60c103.01$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.994362.8%27 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked No31c100.77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.96526.2%17 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5312737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04e5…10dcbacked Yes44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick33cpaid+75.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3bc6…fb63backed Yes16c94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.963630.6%11 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes15c89.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7218050%90 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1252…42c4backed Yes46c87.74$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b18…efaebacked No35c86.85$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.642560%15 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes50c81.78$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.71,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a95…319dbacked Yes16c81.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked No35c79.26$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.813259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+55.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Yes49c76.6$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.854353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Yes68c76.1$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.586350.8%32 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.