Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Orgryte IS vs. AIK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2c098092431493ea3e8dff18053e1099af07f90e197c0a76027b751259709e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2ed…4418backed Yes | 27c | 3,742$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 2,067$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.17 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5c…00f7backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 1,819$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.3 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 1,450$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.5 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Yes | 27c | 1,396$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 933.47$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.04 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 536.11$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.18 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 25c | 389.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 352.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 326.15$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.74 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 29c | 246$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.67 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01bb…2c9cbacked Yes | 26c | 206.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3341…d7e4backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 25c | 150$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 106$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…f676backed Yes | 26c | 103.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 23c | 94.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 75c | 92.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Yes | 23c | 90.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 65c | 82.04$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 74c | 78.69$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 73c | 70.49$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 29c | 67.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 74c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 73c | 65.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 75c | 59.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed No | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 66c | 44.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 43c | 35.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 75 | 77.3%58 W · 17 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 74c | 33.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 75c | 33.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 29.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 66c | 25.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 79c | 20.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Orgryte IS vs. AIK end in a draw?this page
- Will AIK win on 2026-08-08?Yes won
- Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-08-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.