Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Degerfors IF win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc460069ec03540f6042b76a1ee39ab0fd72d245d61462f5fcfb3372e12953143
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38fb…d07cbacked No | 7c | 7,564$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +424.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 5c | 3,473$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.48 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…e5e9backed Yes | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.81 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 22c | 1,814$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.68 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 718.64$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.42 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 28c | 518.64$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.42 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 16c | 399.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 378.34$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.07 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 6c | 273.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 70c | 232.06$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.44 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 172.72$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.19 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Yes | 28c | 172.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +62%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…41eebacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 142.63$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 55c | 110$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 45c | 108.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 16c | 94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 54c | 91.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 46c | 86.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 80c | 53.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 49.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed No | 71c | 21.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed No | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Degerfors IF win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will Degerfors IF vs. IFK Goteborg end in a draw?No won
- Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.