Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2091e8309952f3bcccee15ff3b6a38ef916590b91656f7416b5644a25c3921e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes | 45c | 11,169$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 4,201$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.39 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 56c | 2,338$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.73 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 56c | 2,188$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.95 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 63c | 1,884$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.85 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 1,314$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.65 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 45c | 1,107$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.15 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 43c | 976.74$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 56c | 899$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.79 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 55c | 795$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.75 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 674.45$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.64 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 4c | 652.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 42c | 475$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Yes | 45c | 450$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 59c | 441.81$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.41 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 4c | 347.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 55c | 340$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 55c | 339.99$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 55c | 335$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.75 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 27c | 278.93$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 57c | 270.03$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.66 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Yes | 44c | 270$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 55c | 232.84$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.78 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed No | 55c | 231.4$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…7f69backed Yes | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 42c | 122.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…0454backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 72c | 115.93$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…ffc3backed No | 56c | 99.88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 79c | 86.76$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 21c | 82.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 20c | 64.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Yes | 45c | 52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 55c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 43.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 58c | 33.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 57c | 26.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will Degerfors IF vs. IFK Goteborg end in a draw?No won
- Will Degerfors IF win on 2026-08-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.