Europa Conference League · resolved market
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. SK Brann: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ba64064d9dd1cd9175ca8eb4b41b8c851d51b866c7f549c49a65d83f4a52a95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 9,416$6,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.76 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…e5e9backed Over | 50c | 2,412$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 1,370$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.82 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 55c | 801.62$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.95 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 39c | 752.68$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.98 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 427.2$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.5 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 22c | 408.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.21 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Over | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 78c | 237.39$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.5 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 77c | 104.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 22c | 92.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 26c | 91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 39c | 84.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 22c | 83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Over | 74c | 77$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 80c | 62.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 57c | 60.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 45c | 55.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 44c | 53.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 22c | 52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Under | 22c | 48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Over | 75c | 47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Over | 78c | 44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 47c | 43.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Over | 78c | 38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf6…c75bbacked Over | 34c | 35.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Under | 56c | 30.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Over | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ea…2918backed Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Over | 74c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Over | 74c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…a05cbacked Over | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 73c | 20.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Over | 78c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed Over | 78c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 69c | 16.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…2894backed Over | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.4wins | -0.34per pick | 65cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Over | 78c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. SK Brann: O/U 1.5this page
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. SK Brann: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5Under won
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.