Europa Conference League · resolved market
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. SK Brann: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0918165da880d2e001023e0014d7279d61c20bfe452d439b48f14c8920a4d9bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 3,433$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.22 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 24c | 1,248$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 549.57$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.43 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -8.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 44c | 333.27$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.64 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 54c | 217.39$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.39 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…9fcdbacked No | 46c | 215.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 44c | 200$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes | 56c | 178.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0d…7f43backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed No | 45c | 89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Yes | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 77c | 73.22$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…8bfcbacked Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed No | 42c | 66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked No | 45c | 64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 46c | 61.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Yes | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Yes | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked No | 44c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Yes | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Yes | 55c | 26.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed No | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Yes | 58c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Yes | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. SK Brann: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. SK Brann: O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5Under won
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5Under won
- SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.