TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,595
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,816

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,595 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over48c49,885$23,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,939.851338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over48c24,232$11,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,631.495259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under52c18,000$9,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,64015947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under52c11,464$5,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,502.7943344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8008245.1%37 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under52c7,186$3,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,45235158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c6,284$3,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,530.783,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under52c6,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8805545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under52c6,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8807143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x538a…0823backed Over48c5,779$2,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,773.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under52c2,542$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.8291950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over47c1,880$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.487963.3%50 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under52c1,600$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7689148.4%44 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under52c1,062$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.5333847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4703748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.934548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under52c900$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43212948.8%63 W · 66 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under52c900$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4328444%37 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under52c865.38$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.3812955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over28c807.75$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.658023.8%19 W · 61 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3849444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under52c720$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.68046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0b1…f219backed Over15c672.33$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.85837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under52c539.2$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.8242844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under53c499.99$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2355738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under52c481$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.889858.2%57 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under52c450$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21614252.1%74 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over48c450$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2165026%13 W · 37 L-8.0wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-48.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19224655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over48c375$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under52c350$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1689037.8%34 W · 56 L-12.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under52c340$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.27544%33 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under52c340$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.27248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under52c340$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.27244.4%32 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under52c340$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.27647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under52c340$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.28551.8%44 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1448250%41 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1448953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Under70c288$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.41877.8%14 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under52c280$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.48554.1%46 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12013650%68 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12023757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.27847.4%37 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.28146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.28755.2%48 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f7c…e75cbacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002045%9 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe05b…0912backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+44.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005558.2%32 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964450%22 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under52c190$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.26446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Over27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503243.8%14 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under52c180$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.48056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514641.1%60 W · 86 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under52c170$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.66349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under52c170$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.66350.8%32 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under52c170$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.66448.4%31 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under52c160$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.87848.7%38 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under52c160$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.87544%33 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7210953.2%58 W · 51 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727540%30 W · 45 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under52c140$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.29450%47 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Over49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607135.2%25 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.68052.5%42 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.67648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.66741.8%28 W · 39 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.67651.3%39 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.67951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.610852.8%57 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.67754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.68048.8%39 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.68057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.66144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506929%20 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-50.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under52c84.75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6810554.3%57 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under52c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.44854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over23c71.58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.463444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed Over54c69$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.26742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under52c68.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.147853.8%42 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Under46c62$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.482630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Under64c61.63$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.191861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.87748.1%37 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.87949.4%39 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.87852.6%41 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Under52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.87252.8%38 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.561546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c16…630fbacked Over48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over48c48.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.072948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x927d…b7b0backed Under50c47.62$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e55…1655backed Over52c46.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under54c45.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.032060%12 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under52c42.11$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.218660.5%52 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206929%20 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.