Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: KAA Gent (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55f2146391ad2afbd0e1191773238f4beb6e5f9868f959c3424998ceefd7a175
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- IFK Göteborgof KAA Gent, IFK Göteborg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf93…e5e9backed KAA Gent | 35c | 5,604$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed IFK Göteborg | 68c | 1,888$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.37 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed IFK Göteborg | 62c | 1,737$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.71 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked IFK Göteborg | 65c | 1,445$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.64 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed IFK Göteborg | 65c | 574.62$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.89 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed IFK Göteborg | 65c | 277.13$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed KAA Gent | 48c | 267.75$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed KAA Gent | 36c | 234.68$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked KAA Gent | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked KAA Gent | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed IFK Göteborg | 64c | 96.73$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed IFK Göteborg | 61c | 73.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 503 | 54.7%275 W · 228 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed IFK Göteborg | 61c | 71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed IFK Göteborg | 64c | 54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed IFK Göteborg | 66c | 52.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked IFK Göteborg | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed IFK Göteborg | 68c | 39.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed IFK Göteborg | 61c | 35.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked KAA Gent | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed IFK Göteborg | 70c | 21.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed IFK Göteborg | 70c | 21.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: KAA Gent (-1.5)this page
- KAA Gent vs. IFK Göteborg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- KAA Gent vs. IFK Göteborg: O/U 0.5Over won
- KAA Gent vs. IFK Göteborg: O/U 1.5Over won
- KAA Gent vs. IFK Göteborg: O/U 2.5Under won
- KAA Gent vs. IFK Göteborg: O/U 3.5Under won
- KAA Gent vs. IFK Göteborg: O/U 4.5Under won
- KAA Gent vs. IFK Göteborg: O/U 5.5Under won
- KAA Gent vs. IFK Göteborg: Team to AdvanceKAA Gent won
- Spread: KAA Gent (-2.5)IFK Göteborg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.