Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd27cccb7b668bf2b3bbfdfd97e71a696ea182ed93115a4ea8fb22c6848f36991
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe940…ce19backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ac…3281backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 45c | 2,430$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.5 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Under | 52c | 2,416$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.66 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Under | 58c | 1,214$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.6 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…aba4backed Over | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 42c | 804.67$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.96 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 54c | 750$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 48c | 599.98$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 48c | 595$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.6 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 46c | 402.57$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.76 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Under | 54c | 379.91$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.91 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Over | 48c | 280.34$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.26 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Over | 50c | 244.3$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.95 | 494 | 61.3%303 W · 191 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…b53abacked Over | 48c | 230$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Over | 47c | 225$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Under | 53c | 202.86$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.34 | 286 | 55.9%160 W · 126 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…67cbbacked Under | 56c | 107.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 53c | 98.11$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…16e6backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 48c | 89.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 191 | 61.8%118 W · 73 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…88b9backed Under | 56c | 89.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 278 | 48.2%134 W · 144 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 52c | 85.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe633…f68fbacked Under | 52c | 84.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Over | 48c | 81.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 56c | 78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 49c | 65.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Over | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Over | 49c | 50.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7421…ae44backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb86b…9dafbacked Over | 54c | 37.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 52c | 28.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb14d…8f95backed Over | 48c | 23.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…a5e3backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…f92ebacked Under | 58c | 19.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 139 | 55.4%77 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)Anyone's Legend won
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)Anyone's Legend won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.