TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Anyone's Legendof Anyone's Legend, Top Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,661
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,661 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe308…25cdbacked Anyone's Legend31c5,000$1,550 inWon+$3,449.9966437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Top Esports69c2,527$1,743 inLost-$1,743.321,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Top Esports69c2,312$1,595 inLost-$1,594.948253.7%44 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd98…6178backed Top Esports69c1,478$1,020 inLost-$1,019.822737%10 W · 17 L-5.1wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Anyone's Legend30c1,200$365 inWon+$834.51,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Anyone's Legend29c1,120$326 inWon+$794.382,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Anyone's Legend31c806.45$250 inWon+$556.4580832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Top Esports70c504.54$353 inLost-$353.1821249.1%104 W · 108 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Top Esports69c434.78$300 inLost-$30027142.4%115 W · 156 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9cb…bdcdbacked Top Esports70c428.57$300 inLost-$30020649%101 W · 105 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4cd…a898backed Anyone's Legend31c300$93 inWon+$2073767.6%25 W · 12 L+6.6wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+31.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked Anyone's Legend34c297.51$100 inWon+$197.5144046.4%204 W · 236 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Top Esports72c250$180 inLost-$1801,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3c9…52afbacked Top Esports68c146.24$100 inLost-$1002665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Top Esports68c139$95 inLost-$94.5237647.9%180 W · 196 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8983…d301backed Anyone's Legend32c135.25$43 inWon+$91.9716253.7%87 W · 75 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed Top Esports68c102.94$70 inLost-$709259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Top Esports63c61.74$39 inLost-$38.91,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Top Esports63c54.48$34 inLost-$34.321,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Top Esports66c54.04$36 inLost-$35.6539859.8%238 W · 160 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Top Esports72c47.06$34 inLost-$33.882,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Top Esports69c43.46$30 inLost-$29.992,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a41…c739backed Top Esports70c42.86$30 inLost-$305257.7%30 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.