Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e06eae084e5b5d68427f4c417f602dc0a10227bb31329cd69fcca50cb888ab1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anyone's Legendof Top Esports, Anyone's Legend
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0636…c529backed Anyone's Legend | 78c | 2,020$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.72 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Top Esports | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Top Esports | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Anyone's Legend | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Top Esports | 24c | 166.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed Anyone's Legend | 76c | 151.67$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 102 | 31.4%32 W · 70 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Anyone's Legend | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Top Esports | 19c | 127.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe10c…e7e2backed Top Esports | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Top Esports | 19c | 86.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Top Esports | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Anyone's Legend | 74c | 46.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Anyone's Legend | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 149 | 60.4%90 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)Anyone's Legend won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.