Lol · resolved market
LoL: Caldya Esport vs Lille Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc78e620f115015f3b011bc77472f3cfbbc9bc55d2e8982a66157ab06302261d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lille Esportof Caldya Esport, Lille Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Caldya Esport | 25c | 1,909$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.86 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Caldya Esport | 3c | 1,603$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2057…14eabacked Lille Esport | 78c | 1,141$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.31 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Caldya Esport | 32c | 999.18$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.77 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed Lille Esport | 71c | 840.22$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.22 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Caldya Esport | 15c | 741.87$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.78 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed Lille Esport | 60c | 666.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.75 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +60%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…f837backed Lille Esport | 77c | 581.14$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +18.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…4574backed Lille Esport | 65c | 545.84$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.16 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…efc2backed Lille Esport | 79c | 431.78$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.78 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Caldya Esport | 35c | 431$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.95 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Lille Esport | 76c | 411.88$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Caldya Esport | 27c | 364.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe14c…c2bbbacked Lille Esport | 63c | 255.79$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.79 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1a…e46ebacked Lille Esport | 66c | 251.97$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.97 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Caldya Esport | 15c | 236.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Caldya Esport | 34c | 221.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.47 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…e4c2backed Lille Esport | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Caldya Esport | 37c | 136.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Caldya Esport | 8c | 127.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 171 | 32.2%55 W · 116 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Lille Esport | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Lille Esport | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Lille Esport | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Caldya Esport | 39c | 97.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadc1…f100backed Caldya Esport | 21c | 86.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Lille Esport | 61c | 86.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Lille Esport | 63c | 71.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Caldya Esport | 44c | 68.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Caldya Esport | 25c | 66.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Lille Esport | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Lille Esport | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Lille Esport | 71c | 43.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cb…bda8backed Caldya Esport | 45c | 37.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed Caldya Esport | 32c | 36.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Lille Esport | 68c | 34.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 219 | 43.8%96 W · 123 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…f7c2backed Caldya Esport | 34c | 29.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Lille Esport | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c2…07c4backed Lille Esport | 65c | 23.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…c4d9backed Lille Esport | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.